If your dogwoods and peony patches are looking a bit more robust than they did 20 years ago, you may have climate change to thank for much of their growth.

Using two decades' worth of data on climate and vegetation, a team of scientists has taken what may be the first planetwide look at plant activity during a time when Earth's environment underwent significant change.

The researchers found that globally, shifts in rainfall patterns, cloud cover, and warming temperatures triggered a 6 percent increase in the amount of carbon stored in trees, grass, shrubs, and flowers.

Many scientists hold that the growth in atmospheric concentrations of heat-trapping carbon-dioxide, from nearly two centuries of rapidly growing populations that burned increasing amounts of fossil fuels, is largely responsible for the Earth's warming climate.

The new research adds to the body of evidence that plants can store increasing amounts of carbon from the atmosphere, but it remains unclear how long this trend will continue or whether it will significantly affect atmospheric CO{-2} levels.

The 1997 Kyoto Protocols, a first step at trying to reduce emissions and so moderate the change, permits countries to use the carbon-absorbing capacity of their forests and farmlands as credits against their emissions targets. In addition, projects that increase vegetation also are seen as ways to reach national CO{-2} emissions targets. Thus, understanding the flow of carbon from the atmosphere to plants and back is vital to projecting future trends in atmospheric CO{-2} levels.

50-year project

For 50 years, scientists have been measuring the growth of CO{-2} in the atmosphere, according to Ramakrishna Nemani, a professor in the forestry school at the University of Montana in Missoula, who led the research team.

"But if you look at the record of the past two decades, the annual growth rate hasn't been going up like it had before," he said.

Other groups had forecast an increase in plant growth for a time with climate change, although rates would vary depending on region. And some smaller-scale studies had indicated that the earth was greening.

Nemani's team was interested in seeing how plant activity had changed, and where, worldwide during a 20-year period that saw two of the warmest decades ever recorded, several intense El Niño episodes, one major volcanic eruption, a 9 percent increase in atmospheric CO{-2} concentrations, and a 37 percent growth in human population.

Carbon storage

The team measured how much carbon plants store after absorbing carbon dioxide through photosynthesis and returning some of it through respiration.

First, the team built maps reflecting changes in temperature, cloud cover, which affects the amount of sunlight reaching plants, and available water. Then they overlaid satellite data on net primary productivity on land and looked for relationships among these components.

Big growth rates

They were stunned at the growth rates in South America's Amazon region.

"That was a big surprise," said Ranga Myneni, a botanist at Boston University and a member of the research team. Amazon rain forests accounted for nearly half the increase seen globally over the 20-year period.

The surprise was twofold. The growth rate far exceeded what most scientists expected.

Many models indicated that additional growth in the tropics would be minimal, given the fairly constant temperatures from one season to the next. Many researchers also held that any increased productivity in the tropics would largely be driven by a rise in atmospheric CO2 rather than changes in climate itself.

Yet the drop in tropical cloud cover allowed more sunlight into places like Amazonia, Myneni says, far outpacing CO{-2} as a prod to growth.