Friday, June 06, 2003

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UM research shows plants flourishing from global warming
By BETSY COHEN of the Missoulian

The Earth is becoming a greener and wetter place to live, according to NASA-funded researchers at the University of Montana who have studied global climate changes for the past two decades.

The work of UM-based scientists Ramakrishna Nemani and Steve Running is highlighted in Friday's edition of Science magazine, the world's premiere science journal.

Nemani and Running's work is part of a collaboration with scientists at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, the University of California-San Diego, Boston University and NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Maryland.

"We have been working in this field almost 20 years, and this study brings together everything we have done in that time - it really is a summary of our work," said Nemani, the lead researcher for the project.

What makes their findings so exciting is that for the first time, scientists have a global picture of what is happening to climate and vegetation, he said.

Although scientists know from a number of small-scale studies over the last few years that the planet is getting greener, there hasn't been a planetwide look at climate changes until now.

Nemani said he isn't so startled by the findings, but is pleasantly surprised that his homeland is faring well.

"I come from India, it was nice to see the subcontinent has done quite well in the last two decades," he said. "I wasn't expecting that."

The information the scientists used for their article, titled "Climate-Driven Increases in Global Terrestrial Net Primary Production from 1982 to 1999," comes from data collected by satellites and from worldwide local weather records, Running said.

They determined how factors such as rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns and increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere have affected plant growth.

They concluded that vegetation growth increased 6 percent over extensive regions of Earth, with the largest increase in tropical ecosystems. Amazon rainforests accounted for 42 percent of the global increase, due mostly to decreased cloud cover and the resulting increase in solar radiation.

For Running, the findings are welcome news he believes the larger, nonscientific world will appreciate.

"Most of the press, you read about global warming is bad news, and I think the public has gotten accustomed to whenever the issue comes up they think gloom and doom," Running said. "I think this will help lift people's spirits.

"Everyone will agree that improved vegetation means more resources for humanity to work with."

NASA announced the news Thursday at a splashy press conference complete with videos and graphics to illustrate the findings.

Running said he was surprised by the fanfare, but welcomes the attention. His lab, he said, has been hammering away at climate studies for a long time and the work is now paying off with information that people around the globe will find useful.

"This is a fairly major step forward in how we understand Earth's system and how climate interacts with Earth's biosphere," he said. "The better we understand these changes, the better we can react and work with them.

"Locally, it may help us make decisions on things like how to expand agriculture in Montana," he said. "I have been watching wine regions expand in different parts of the world - there's an active winery in British Columbia, and 20 years ago they didn't, wouldn't, have one.

"I think this research gives us a better understanding of where we should be reconsidering certain aspects of land management."

Reporter Betsy Cohen can be reached at 523-5253 or at bcohen@missoulian.com

 

If you're interested

Ramakrishna Nemani and Steve Running's article can be found on the Science magazine Web site, www.sciencemag.org